Supply Chain Disruption Index
Updated 2026-08-24 · Confidence 90% · Valid until 2026-08-25
Executive summary
The Global Supply Chain Disruption Index has surged to 118 today, driven by extreme maritime shipping stress in the Strait of Hormuz and significant increases in crude oil prices and tanker freight rates. Geopolitical tensions remain critical, exacerbating an already strained global logistics network.
Today's disruption score
118/100 · Alert level: red · Trend: rising · Change vs yesterday: 13.
Index components
- price volatility: [object Object]
- geopolitical risk: [object Object]
- inventory pressure: [object Object]
- maritime disruption: [object Object]
- route capacity stress: [object Object]
Trajectory
- Direction: worsening
- 7-day forecast: 125
- 14-day forecast: 130
- 30-day forecast: 135
- Catalyst to watch: Resolution or further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz region.
Historical comparison
- vs last week: 18
- vs pre-crisis: 18
- vs crisis start: 18
- Historical percentile: 98
Methodology
Composite index aggregating maritime shipping disruption, commodity price volatility, geopolitical risk premium, alternative route capacity utilization, and inventory depletion rates.
Analyst note
The continued severe disruption in the Strait of Hormuz is the primary driver of today's sharp increase, pushing the index into critical territory. The significant jump in crude oil prices and tanker rates indicates a direct impact on energy and logistics costs, suggesting further inflationary pressures and supply chain bottlenecks are imminent.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the Global Supply Chain Disruption Index?
- A composite score from 0-100 measuring disruption in global energy supply chains. It combines five sub-indices: maritime disruption, price volatility, geopolitical risk, route capacity stress, and inventory pressure.
- Today's disruption score is 118 — what does that mean?
- A score of 118 falls in the critical (75-100) zone.
- How is the disruption index calculated?
- The index combines 5 weighted components: Maritime Disruption, Price Volatility, Geopolitical Risk, Route Capacity Stress, and Inventory Pressure.
- Is this index rising or falling?
- The index is currently rising. Compared to last week: +18 points.
- What is a high disruption index score?
- Scores above 75 are critical and historically correlate with major supply chain failures. The pre-crisis baseline was approximately 15-20.
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